Liquidation maps › TRX

TRX liquidation map

TRX trades at $0.33967 against $13.10M of open interest on Hyperliquid. The heaviest modelled cluster still standing sits 6.92% below it, at $0.31615, holding $335K — the level where longs get closed. Over 7 days price traded $0.33155–$0.34400 and cleared $0 of modelled notional on the way.

Not investment advice — modelled figures from stated assumptions. Terms and disclaimer

Modelled notional standing at a price, at a moment. Colour tops out at the busiest 0.5% of the cells that carry anything so one dominant cluster cannot drag everything else to the floor; the most crowded spot holds $336K. A band ends where price trades through it — drawn in white, both as scars on the field and as the strip beneath — or fades out in four steps as the positions behind it age past the 14-day position life. Hover any point for the value band it sits in.

Hourly candles to 09:00 UTC, refreshed every 2 hours and drawn here in 1-hour steps. The dashed line is the live mark, $0.33967, from the snapshot taken 5 min ago. Two different ages, so neither is allowed to stand for the other.

$0modelled notional price traded through inside this window

50.91%of modelled notional sits outside the drawn price range

$0.33155 – $0.34400the range that actually traded in this window

This surface is a model, and the assumptions below drive it. No venue publishes the distribution of open positions by leverage and entry price, so nobody can observe this — not us, and not anyone shipping a similar picture. Change the leverage mix in the form below and the bands move: that is the honest version of being handed someone else's Model 1, 2 and 3. What is not modelled is the price path drawn over the field, and the claim the picture actually supports is a checkable one — that price traded through where the model puts levels. See it happen on 5 February 2026 →

The assumptions, in full

#	Assumption	Value used	Observed or assumed
1	Total notional modelled	Equal to Hyperliquid's open interest in TRX, $13.10M — one venue's book, not the market's	observed
2	When positions were opened	Spread over the bars of the window in proportion to each bar's traded volume as a share of its own trailing 14-day window, which is what stops a rising market from loading every cohort onto its latest bars	assumed
3	Leverage mix	Balanced, rescaled to this contract's 10× cap: 16.36% at 2×, 34.55% at 5× and 49.09% at 10×, once the 20×, 25× and 40× weights are dropped. As written for a 40× contract: weight spread across the range, tilted slightly to the middle. A deliberately unopinionated default.	assumed
4	Direction	Half long, half short at every leverage	assumed
5	How long a position stays open	A bounded life of 14 days, decaying in four tranches. Removed earlier if price trades through its level.	assumed
6	Maintenance margin	5.000% at tier 1, from the published table	observed
7	Positions before the window opens	336 bars before the chart starts are modelled off-screen, so the first drawn column already holds a full position-life window of positions	assumed
8	Drawn price range	The traded range was quieter than the ±8% minimum, so the minimum set the axis — not the traded range. 50.91% of modelled notional liquidates further away than this and is not drawn.	observed

Row 8 is the one most worth reading twice. Tying the axis to what actually traded is what gives the price path presence — the previous version spanned a third of the price to accommodate 2× levels half a market away, and flattened real movement into a squiggle. A minimum of ±8% stops a very quiet window from zooming into noise, and in a quiet window it is that minimum rather than the traded range that sets the axis. Either way the cost is that low-leverage levels fall off the picture. Here that is 2× and 5×.

Leverage mix used: Balanced

The exact weight vector behind the picture, renormalised over the 3 rungs this contract's 10× cap leaves in play. The form below switches to any other profile in one submission.

Leverage	Share of notional	Modelled notional	Long liquidation, % from mark
2×	16.36%	$2.14M	−47.4%
5×	34.55%	$4.53M	−15.8%
10×	49.09%	$6.43M	−5.3%

Where the model puts the biggest clusters

Price levels still carrying modelled notional at the right-hand edge of the chart, largest first — $2.22M across the 10 listed. These are the numbers the bright bands stand for.

Price	Distance from mark	Side closed	Modelled notional	Share of open interest
$0.31615	−6.92%	longs	$335,467	2.56%
$0.34983	+2.99%	shorts	$278,302	2.12%
$0.34945	+2.88%	shorts	$259,430	1.98%
$0.31577	−7.04%	longs	$225,398	1.72%
$0.34907	+2.77%	shorts	$222,871	1.70%
$0.35328	+4.01%	shorts	$188,224	1.44%
$0.31921	−6.02%	longs	$183,200	1.40%
$0.31959	−5.91%	longs	$180,327	1.38%
$0.31653	−6.81%	longs	$175,270	1.34%
$0.35021	+3.10%	shorts	$168,821	1.29%

Where liquidation levels would sit if positions were opened the way the assumptions above describe — and, the part that matters, where price has already cleared them. The dark corridor the price path carves through the field is not empty space; it is the levels the market has already taken out. This is a model, and it is labelled as one inside the picture, not only underneath it. Every modelled figure here is scaled from Hyperliquid's open interest in TRX, which is one venue's book rather than the whole market's. What a liquidation heatmap actually shows →

How far price can move before each leverage liquidates — derived, not modelled

No assumptions here. Given the tier table and a mark these prices are arithmetic: the upper cap is where a short is closed, the lower cap where a long is closed.

Leverage	Initial margin	Long liquidation	Move down	Short liquidation	Move up	Corridor width
10× · max	10.00%	$0.32179	−5.26%	$0.35584	+4.76%	10.03%
8×	12.50%	$0.31285	−7.89%	$0.36393	+7.14%	15.04%
6×	16.67%	$0.29796	−12.28%	$0.37741	+11.11%	23.39%
5×	20.00%	$0.28604	−15.79%	$0.38819	+14.29%	30.08%
4×	25.00%	$0.26816	−21.05%	$0.40437	+19.05%	40.10%
3×	33.33%	$0.23836	−29.82%	$0.43133	+26.98%	56.81%

Where TRX's margin tiers step down

Maintenance margin is set by the tier the notional falls in. Above $3.00M the corridor widens, because maintenance margin rises to 10.000%.

Tier	Notional from	Max leverage	Maintenance margin
1 · charted	$0	10×	5.000%
2	$3.00M	5×	10.000%

What is deliberately absent

No liquidation totals and no cascade tracker. Those need an event feed, and every available one is throttled — Binance publishes at most one liquidation per symbol per second, so a sum over it understates by an unknown factor, worst exactly when the number is most quoted. The full reasoning →

Other coins

Every other covered contract, each linked with the Balanced leverage mix and the 7-day window set here. TRX is the one drawn above.

The 5 February sweep, on real candles → · Leverage survival — real candles, one stated rule → · TRX funding and margin tiers →

Liquidation maps by contract → · TRX funding and margin tiers → · What a liquidation heatmap actually shows →